Millions of people bet on the NFL each and every weekend of the season. Yet, the vast majority of those people don't actually win money. At best, they might be breaking even, and riding those wins while forgetting about the losses in between. When you really want to improve the performance of your NFL betting, then you need to learn effective strategies for handicapping NFL games and correctly predicting the outcome. Our results speak for themselves.
As opposed to other sports such as baseball with over 160 games per season, or basketball and hockey, with 82 games each, there are of course only 16 games in every NFL regular season. That's important to think about, because with such a small number of games, each game and each match-up is an absolute unique situation. There's a lot to consider for each and every outing, and from week to week, all of those variables will be different.
When most people bet on NFL games, they look at the teams and compare their win-loss records and the expectations that people had for them on the year. From there, they might check the last week's scores to see how those teams each did the week prior, and from there they'll put together their pick. But if you want to win, there's much, much more to it than that. Another key variable to making the most out of your NFL wagering experience is betting on games at reduced odds. This mega-valuable feature allows you to lay only -105 on games instead of -110. This will save you HUGE money over the course of the season!
We look where each team stands for this single game in terms of what they've been doing previously, and what is coming ahead. So much of how a team plays in a single game, one of 16, will be based on whether or not they're riding momentum coming into the showdown, or whether they might be looking ahead to a bigger opponent, becoming vulnerable to a letdown game. This can also happen if a team is coming off a big win; they can suffer that emotional letdown and underperform for the next game.
It's also crucial to look at overall trends. How have these teams played one another in the past? Who has had the edge where this game is being hosted? How does each team play when they have to travel, for example, or when they are coming off their bye week? All of these are crucial factors, and they can make the difference between accurate and sloppy handicapping and picking. Besides trends in a team's performance, we love looking at betting trends and stats. How does one team fare as a home favorite, or a road underdog? Do they cover their spreads, lose outright as a favorite or win but fail to cover? Do they lose but tend to beat the spread as underdogs, and do they ever pull off big upsets?
In the NFL, injuries are huge (especially to offensive lines), and are one of the most underrated or underutilized tools in handicapping games. Most people would react to the star quarterback being out for the game, but this isn't the NBA, where a team can revolve around a single player.